Ouster OUST 30.52 -3.02 -9.0%
Expected move
November 05, 2026 close · $30.45| Horizon | Expected move | Typical range | 2 in 3 closes | 9 in 10 closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ±4.8% ±$1.46 | $28.99 – $31.91 | $28.69 – $32.21 | $27.31 – $33.59 |
| 2 sessions | ±6.7% ±$2.03 | $28.42 – $32.48 | $27.99 – $32.91 | $26.07 – $34.83 |
| 3 sessions | ±8.4% ±$2.56 | $27.89 – $33.01 | $27.40 – $33.50 | $25.00 – $35.90 |
| 1 week | ±10.7% ±$3.26 | $27.19 – $33.71 | $26.47 – $34.43 | $23.52 – $37.38 |
| 2 weeks | ±14.4% ±$4.38 | $26.07 – $34.83 | $25.04 – $35.86 | $21.11 – $39.79 |
| 3 weeks | ±17.4% ±$5.31 | $25.14 – $35.76 | $23.85 – $37.05 | $19.23 – $41.67 |
| 1 month | ±19.5% ±$5.93 | $24.52 – $36.38 | $23.05 – $37.85 | $17.89 – $43.01 |
Earnings: priced against what happened
Average implied move
±17.08%
Average actual move
14.94%
Beyond the implied move
2 / 6
Median IV change
-22.99%
| Reaction session | Implied | Actual | Used | ATM IV before → after |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 04, 2026 | ±16.22% | +15.73% | 0.97× | — |
| August 07, 2026 | ±17.44% | -4.78% | 0.27× | — |
| May 06, 2026 | ±16.87% | +2.78% | 0.16× | — |
| August 08, 2025 | ±16.23% | +11.69% | 0.72× | 142.7% → 99.6% |
| May 09, 2025 | ±20.23% | +22.77% | 1.13× | — |
| March 21, 2025 | ±15.51% | +31.86% | 2.05× | 117.5% → 98.9% |