ONDS Moves

Ondas Inc ONDS 4.52 -0.75 -14.23%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $4.49

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±3.7% ±$0.17	$4.32 – $4.66	$4.29 – $4.69	$4.13 – $4.85
2 sessions	±5.2% ±$0.23	$4.26 – $4.72	$4.21 – $4.77	$3.99 – $4.99
3 sessions	±6.5% ±$0.29	$4.20 – $4.78	$4.14 – $4.84	$3.87 – $5.11
1 week Earnings	±19.8% ±$0.89	$3.60 – $5.38	$3.38 – $5.60	$2.62 – $6.36
2 weeks Earnings	±21.7% ±$0.97	$3.51 – $5.46	$3.29 – $5.69	$2.43 – $6.55
3 weeks Earnings	±23.3% ±$1.05	$3.44 – $5.54	$3.19 – $5.79	$2.29 – $6.69
1 month Earnings	±25.1% ±$1.13	$3.36 – $5.62	$3.09 – $5.89	$2.12 – $6.86

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. ONDS reports in 5 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±12.27%

Average actual move

17.66%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 2

Median IV change

-2.19%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
August 13, 2026	±13.82%	-8.80%	0.64×	—
May 14, 2026	±10.72%	+26.52%	2.47×	101.1% → 98.9%

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →