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SERVICENOW NOW 108.81 -0.35 -0.32%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $109.02
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.4% ±$2.66 $106.36 – $111.68 $105.83 – $112.21 $103.32 – $114.72
2 sessions ±3.4% ±$3.70 $105.32 – $112.72 $104.54 – $113.50 $101.05 – $116.99
3 sessions ±4.1% ±$4.51 $104.51 – $113.53 $103.65 – $114.39 $99.42 – $118.62
1 week ±5.1% ±$5.58 $103.44 – $114.60 $102.20 – $115.84 $97.13 – $120.91
2 weeks ±7.1% ±$7.71 $101.31 – $116.73 $99.48 – $118.56 $92.57 – $125.47
3 weeks ±8.6% ±$9.33 $99.69 – $118.35 $97.42 – $120.62 $89.30 – $128.74
1 month ±10.2% ±$11.10 $97.92 – $120.12 $95.16 – $122.88 $85.48 – $132.56
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±9.21%
Average actual move
12.77%
Beyond the implied move
5 / 7
Median IV change
-27.57%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
October 29, 2026 ±10.64% -26.95% 2.53× —
July 23, 2026 ±11.50% -3.69% 0.32× —
April 23, 2026 ±11.16% -17.75% 1.59× —
January 29, 2026 ±8.06% -9.94% 1.23× —
July 24, 2025 ±7.66% +4.16% 0.54× 53.0% → 29.6%
April 24, 2025 ±8.48% +15.49% 1.83× 65.0% → 57.9%
January 30, 2025 ±6.97% -11.44% 1.64× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →