MTH Moves

Meritage Homes Corporation MTH 68.05 -2.98 -4.2%

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Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $68.25

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.8% ±$1.25	$67.01 – $69.50	$66.76 – $69.75	$65.58 – $70.93
2 sessions	±2.5% ±$1.73	$66.52 – $69.99	$66.15 – $70.36	$64.51 – $72.00
3 sessions	±3.2% ±$2.19	$66.07 – $70.44	$65.65 – $70.86	$63.61 – $72.90
1 week	±4.1% ±$2.78	$65.48 – $71.03	$64.86 – $71.65	$62.34 – $74.17
2 weeks	±5.7% ±$3.90	$64.36 – $72.15	$63.44 – $73.07	$59.95 – $76.56
3 weeks	±7.3% ±$4.98	$63.27 – $73.24	$62.06 – $74.45	$57.73 – $78.78
1 month	±8.8% ±$6.05	$62.21 – $74.30	$60.72 – $75.79	$55.45 – $81.06

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

No completed report with a comparable pre-report straddle.