Closed
⌘K
Sign in Sign up

MATADOR RESOURCES COMPANY MTDR 50.41 0.54 1.08%

Previous-day view · Fri Nov 6 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $50.67
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.1% ±$1.05 $49.61 – $51.72 $49.40 – $51.93 $48.41 – $52.93
2 sessions ±2.9% ±$1.46 $49.20 – $52.13 $48.89 – $52.45 $47.51 – $53.83
3 sessions ±3.6% ±$1.84 $48.82 – $52.51 $48.46 – $52.87 $46.74 – $54.60
1 week ±4.6% ±$2.34 $48.32 – $53.01 $47.80 – $53.53 $45.67 – $55.67
2 weeks ±6.5% ±$3.29 $47.37 – $53.96 $46.59 – $54.74 $43.64 – $57.69
3 weeks ±7.7% ±$3.89 $46.78 – $54.56 $45.83 – $55.51 $42.44 – $58.90
1 month ±8.9% ±$4.50 $46.16 – $55.17 $45.04 – $56.29 $41.11 – $60.22
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±5.93%
Average actual move
2.91%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 2
Median IV change
-14.03%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 07, 2026 ±6.93% -3.79% 0.55× —
February 19, 2025 ±4.93% -2.02% 0.41× 37.2% → 32.0%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →