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Marqeta MQ 18.62 0.52 2.87%

Previous-day view · Mon Nov 2 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 02, 2026 close · $18.62
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.3% ±$0.42 $18.20 – $19.04 $18.11 – $19.13 $17.71 – $19.53
2 sessions ±3.2% ±$0.59 $18.03 – $19.21 $17.91 – $19.33 $17.35 – $19.89
3 sessions ±4.0% ±$0.74 $17.88 – $19.36 $17.74 – $19.50 $17.04 – $20.20
1 week ±5.1% ±$0.94 $17.68 – $19.56 $17.47 – $19.77 $16.61 – $20.63
2 weeks ±7.1% ±$1.32 $17.30 – $19.94 $16.98 – $20.26 $15.80 – $21.44
3 weeks ±8.8% ±$1.64 $16.98 – $20.26 $16.58 – $20.66 $15.16 – $22.08
1 month ±10.5% ±$1.95 $16.67 – $20.57 $16.18 – $21.06 $14.48 – $22.76
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. MQ reports in 2 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±14.40%
Average actual move
26.15%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 2
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 08, 2025 ±12.84% +9.78% 0.76× —
November 05, 2024 ±15.97% -42.52% 2.66× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →