MNKD Moves

Mannkind Corporation MNKD 3.93 0.2 5.36%

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Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $3.90

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±4.3% ±$0.16	$3.73 – $4.06	$3.69 – $4.10	$3.53 – $4.26
2 sessions	±6.0% ±$0.23	$3.66 – $4.13	$3.61 – $4.18	$3.39 – $4.40
3 sessions	±7.6% ±$0.30	$3.60 – $4.19	$3.54 – $4.25	$3.26 – $4.53
1 week	±9.7% ±$0.37	$3.52 – $4.27	$3.43 – $4.36	$3.09 – $4.70
2 weeks	±13.6% ±$0.52	$3.37 – $4.42	$3.24 – $4.55	$2.77 – $5.02

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. MNKD reports in 2 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±8.68%

Average actual move

4.39%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
February 27, 2025	±8.68%	-4.39%	0.51×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →