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monday MNDY 93.84 -2.96 -3.06%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $93.82
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±3.2% ±$2.99 $90.83 – $96.81 $90.23 – $97.41 $87.40 – $100.24
2 sessions Earnings ±17.2% ±$16.14 $77.68 – $109.96 $73.73 – $113.91 $58.85 – $128.79
3 sessions Earnings ±18.2% ±$17.05 $76.77 – $110.87 $72.84 – $114.80 $57.25 – $130.39
1 week Earnings ±19.0% ±$17.82 $76.00 – $111.64 $71.70 – $115.94 $56.38 – $131.26
2 weeks Earnings ±20.4% ±$19.16 $74.66 – $112.98 $70.15 – $117.49 $53.42 – $134.22
3 weeks Earnings ±21.7% ±$20.32 $73.50 – $114.14 $68.67 – $118.97 $51.11 – $136.53
1 month Earnings ±23.0% ±$21.59 $72.23 – $115.41 $67.03 – $120.61 $48.42 – $139.22
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. MNDY reports in 2 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±16.53%
Average actual move
13.88%
Beyond the implied move
3 / 6
Median IV change
-24.48%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 10, 2026 ±21.53% -4.84% 0.22× —
May 11, 2026 ±19.43% +6.72% 0.35× —
August 11, 2025 ±15.02% -29.80% 1.98× —
May 12, 2025 ±13.87% +0.33% 0.02× —
February 10, 2025 ±16.13% +26.46% 1.64× 103.1% → 77.9%
November 11, 2024 ±13.21% -15.14% 1.15× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →