MITK Moves

Mitek Systems MITK 16.93 -2.16 -11.31%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $16.90

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±3.1% ±$0.53	$16.37 – $17.43	$16.26 – $17.54	$15.77 – $18.03
2 sessions	±4.3% ±$0.74	$16.16 – $17.64	$16.01 – $17.79	$15.31 – $18.49
3 sessions	±5.5% ±$0.93	$15.97 – $17.83	$15.79 – $18.01	$14.93 – $18.87
1 week	±7.0% ±$1.18	$15.72 – $18.08	$15.46 – $18.34	$14.39 – $19.41
2 weeks	±9.8% ±$1.65	$15.25 – $18.55	$14.86 – $18.94	$13.38 – $20.42
3 weeks	±12.1% ±$2.04	$14.86 – $18.94	$14.36 – $19.44	$12.58 – $21.22
1 month	±14.4% ±$2.44	$14.46 – $19.34	$13.86 – $19.94	$11.73 – $22.07

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. MITK reports in 25 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±16.11%

Average actual move

1.63%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 08, 2026	±16.11%	+1.63%	0.10×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →