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Medline Inc MDLN 39.76 -0.59 -1.46%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $39.88
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.9% ±$0.75 $39.12 – $40.63 $38.97 – $40.78 $38.26 – $41.49
2 sessions ±2.6% ±$1.04 $38.83 – $40.92 $38.60 – $41.15 $37.61 – $42.14
3 sessions ±3.3% ±$1.32 $38.56 – $41.20 $38.30 – $41.45 $37.06 – $42.69
1 week ±4.2% ±$1.67 $38.20 – $41.55 $37.82 – $41.93 $36.30 – $43.45
2 weeks ±5.9% ±$2.35 $37.52 – $42.23 $36.96 – $42.79 $34.85 – $44.90
3 weeks ±7.1% ±$2.83 $37.04 – $42.71 $36.36 – $43.39 $33.90 – $45.85
1 month ±8.2% ±$3.28 $36.59 – $43.16 $35.77 – $43.98 $32.91 – $46.84
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±10.81%
Average actual move
7.30%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 1
Median IV change
-23.46%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 06, 2026 ±10.81% -7.30% 0.68× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →