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Matsons MATX 211.93 -1.94 -0.91%

Previous-day view · Fri Nov 6 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $211.93
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.8% ±$3.75 $208.18 – $215.68 $207.42 – $216.44 $203.86 – $220.00
2 sessions ±2.5% ±$5.23 $206.70 – $217.16 $205.59 – $218.27 $200.66 – $223.20
3 sessions ±3.1% ±$6.59 $205.34 – $218.52 $204.07 – $219.79 $197.90 – $225.96
1 week ±4.0% ±$8.37 $203.56 – $220.30 $201.69 – $222.17 $194.09 – $229.77
2 weeks ±5.5% ±$11.74 $200.19 – $223.67 $197.39 – $226.47 $186.86 – $237.00
3 weeks ±6.6% ±$13.90 $198.03 – $225.83 $194.64 – $229.22 $182.54 – $241.32
1 month ±7.6% ±$16.13 $195.80 – $228.06 $191.80 – $232.06 $177.75 – $246.11
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±9.06%
Average actual move
12.51%
Beyond the implied move
2 / 2
Median IV change
-27.28%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 05, 2026 ±7.99% +9.62% 1.20× —
May 06, 2025 ±10.13% -15.41% 1.52× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →