MATV Moves

Mativ Holdings MATV 12.36 0.26 2.15%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $12.25

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.0% ±$0.24	$12.01 – $12.49	$11.96 – $12.53	$11.73 – $12.76
2 sessions	±2.7% ±$0.33	$11.92 – $12.58	$11.85 – $12.65	$11.53 – $12.96
3 sessions	±3.4% ±$0.41	$11.83 – $12.66	$11.75 – $12.75	$11.36 – $13.14
1 week	±4.3% ±$0.53	$11.72 – $12.78	$11.60 – $12.90	$11.12 – $13.38
2 weeks	±6.1% ±$0.74	$11.50 – $12.99	$11.32 – $13.17	$10.66 – $13.84
3 weeks	±7.5% ±$0.92	$11.32 – $13.17	$11.10 – $13.39	$10.30 – $14.20
1 month	±9.0% ±$1.10	$11.15 – $13.35	$10.88 – $13.62	$9.92 – $14.58

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±12.29%

Average actual move

7.96%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
February 19, 2026	±12.29%	-7.96%	0.65×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →