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Intuitive Machines LUNR 8.62 -1.31 -13.19%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $8.69
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±4.2% ±$0.37 $8.32 – $9.05 $8.25 – $9.12 $7.91 – $9.46
2 sessions ±5.8% ±$0.50 $8.18 – $9.19 $8.07 – $9.30 $7.60 – $9.77
3 sessions ±7.3% ±$0.63 $8.05 – $9.32 $7.93 – $9.44 $7.34 – $10.03
1 week Earnings ±16.2% ±$1.40 $7.28 – $10.09 $6.94 – $10.43 $5.73 – $11.64
2 weeks Earnings ±19.0% ±$1.64 $7.04 – $10.33 $6.65 – $10.72 $5.21 – $12.16
3 weeks Earnings ±21.3% ±$1.85 $6.83 – $10.54 $6.39 – $10.98 $4.79 – $12.58
1 month Earnings ±23.7% ±$2.06 $6.62 – $10.75 $6.13 – $11.24 $4.35 – $13.02
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. LUNR reports in 5 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±15.08%
Average actual move
7.65%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 6
Median IV change
-14.84%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 13, 2026 ±13.22% +3.60% 0.27× —
May 14, 2026 ±12.42% +2.35% 0.19× —
August 07, 2025 ±13.95% -4.29% 0.31× 109.4% → 87.5%
May 13, 2025 ±13.63% +22.42% 1.64× —
March 25, 2025 ±11.12% -0.22% 0.02× 115.1% → 104.0%
November 14, 2024 ±26.15% -13.01% 0.50× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →