LB Moves

LandBridge Corporation LB 61.88 -7.38 -10.66%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $63.26

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.9% ±$1.81	$61.45 – $65.07	$61.09 – $65.43	$59.38 – $67.14
2 sessions	±4.0% ±$2.51	$60.75 – $65.77	$60.22 – $66.30	$57.84 – $68.68
3 sessions	±5.0% ±$3.16	$60.10 – $66.42	$59.48 – $67.04	$56.52 – $70.00
1 week	±6.4% ±$4.02	$59.24 – $67.28	$58.34 – $68.18	$54.69 – $71.83
2 weeks	±8.9% ±$5.64	$57.62 – $68.90	$56.28 – $70.24	$51.22 – $75.30
3 weeks	±10.3% ±$6.52	$56.74 – $69.78	$55.15 – $71.37	$49.48 – $77.04
1 month	±11.6% ±$7.31	$55.95 – $70.57	$54.14 – $72.38	$47.77 – $78.75

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±8.26%

Average actual move

14.34%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
August 07, 2025	±8.26%	-14.34%	1.74×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →