KEYS Moves

Keysight Technologies KEYS 260.61 -25.25 -8.83%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $261.13

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.3% ±$5.90	$255.23 – $267.03	$254.03 – $268.23	$248.44 – $273.82
2 sessions	±3.1% ±$8.23	$252.90 – $269.36	$251.15 – $271.11	$243.40 – $278.86
3 sessions	±4.0% ±$10.37	$250.76 – $271.50	$248.78 – $273.48	$239.06 – $283.20
1 week	±5.0% ±$13.16	$247.97 – $274.29	$245.02 – $277.24	$233.08 – $289.18
2 weeks	±7.1% ±$18.49	$242.64 – $279.62	$238.28 – $283.98	$221.70 – $300.56
3 weeks Earnings	±13.3% ±$34.78	$226.35 – $295.91	$218.04 – $304.22	$187.99 – $334.27
1 month Earnings	±14.5% ±$37.76	$223.37 – $298.89	$214.26 – $308.00	$181.72 – $340.54

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. KEYS reports in 11 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±9.19%

Average actual move

6.32%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Median IV change

-37.86%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
August 19, 2026	±9.19%	-6.32%	0.69×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →