KEEL Moves

Keel Infrastructure Corp KEEL 1.96 0.09 4.81%

Previous-day view · Mon Nov 9 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 09, 2026 close · $1.97

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±4.7% ±$0.09	$1.88 – $2.06	$1.86 – $2.08	$1.77 – $2.17
2 sessions	±6.5% ±$0.13	$1.84 – $2.10	$1.81 – $2.13	$1.69 – $2.25
3 sessions	±8.2% ±$0.16	$1.81 – $2.13	$1.78 – $2.16	$1.63 – $2.31
1 week	±10.4% ±$0.20	$1.77 – $2.17	$1.72 – $2.22	$1.53 – $2.41
2 weeks	±14.6% ±$0.29	$1.68 – $2.26	$1.61 – $2.33	$1.36 – $2.58
3 weeks	±18.1% ±$0.36	$1.61 – $2.33	$1.53 – $2.41	$1.22 – $2.72
1 month	±21.5% ±$0.42	$1.55 – $2.39	$1.44 – $2.50	$1.07 – $2.87

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±15.05%

Average actual move

14.04%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 3

Median IV change

-1.31%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
November 05, 2026	±13.33%	-21.43%	1.61×	—
August 10, 2026	±15.21%	-12.37%	0.81×	—
May 11, 2026	±16.62%	+8.31%	0.50×	131.0% → 129.3%

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →