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KB Home KBH 52.06 -1.06 -2.0%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $52.06
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.0% ±$1.02 $51.04 – $53.08 $50.84 – $53.28 $49.87 – $54.25
2 sessions ±2.7% ±$1.42 $50.64 – $53.48 $50.34 – $53.78 $49.00 – $55.12
3 sessions ±3.4% ±$1.79 $50.27 – $53.85 $49.93 – $54.19 $48.26 – $55.86
1 week ±4.4% ±$2.27 $49.79 – $54.33 $49.29 – $54.83 $47.22 – $56.90
2 weeks ±6.1% ±$3.19 $48.87 – $55.25 $48.12 – $56.00 $45.27 – $58.85
3 weeks ±7.6% ±$3.95 $48.11 – $56.01 $47.16 – $56.96 $43.73 – $60.39
1 month ±9.0% ±$4.70 $47.36 – $56.76 $46.20 – $57.92 $42.10 – $62.02
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. KBH reports in 30 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±7.22%
Average actual move
4.82%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 1
Median IV change
-28.50%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
January 14, 2025 ±7.22% +4.82% 0.67× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →