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Ibotta IBTA 57.85 -5.18 -8.22%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $58.53
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.7% ±$1.56 $56.97 – $60.09 $56.66 – $60.40 $55.19 – $61.87
2 sessions ±3.7% ±$2.16 $56.37 – $60.69 $55.91 – $61.15 $53.87 – $63.19
3 sessions ±4.7% ±$2.72 $55.81 – $61.25 $55.28 – $61.78 $52.73 – $64.33
1 week ±5.9% ±$3.46 $55.07 – $61.99 $54.30 – $62.76 $51.16 – $65.90
2 weeks ±8.3% ±$4.86 $53.67 – $63.39 $52.52 – $64.54 $48.17 – $68.89
3 weeks ±10.3% ±$6.01 $52.52 – $64.54 $51.05 – $66.01 $45.82 – $71.24
1 month ±12.2% ±$7.16 $51.37 – $65.69 $49.59 – $67.47 $43.34 – $73.72
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±15.64%
Average actual move
30.28%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 1
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 14, 2025 ±15.64% -30.28% 1.94× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →