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Hut 8 Corp HUT 45.95 -2.99 -6.11%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $46.81
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±7.3% ±$3.40 $43.42 – $50.21 $42.74 – $50.89 $39.53 – $54.09
2 sessions ±10.1% ±$4.72 $42.09 – $51.53 $41.09 – $52.53 $36.64 – $56.99
3 sessions ±12.7% ±$5.94 $40.87 – $52.75 $39.72 – $53.90 $34.16 – $59.47
1 week ±16.1% ±$7.56 $39.26 – $54.37 $37.58 – $56.05 $30.72 – $62.91
2 weeks ±20.0% ±$9.37 $37.45 – $56.18 $35.23 – $58.40 $26.83 – $66.80
3 weeks ±21.9% ±$10.24 $36.57 – $57.05 $34.08 – $59.54 $25.18 – $68.45
1 month ±25.2% ±$11.79 $35.02 – $58.60 $32.09 – $61.53 $21.81 – $71.81
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±11.32%
Average actual move
14.55%
Beyond the implied move
3 / 6
Median IV change
-6.73%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
November 04, 2026 ±14.90% -23.23% 1.56× —
August 04, 2026 ±13.29% -9.74% 0.73× —
May 06, 2026 ±10.40% +35.31% 3.39× —
August 07, 2025 ±7.42% -3.24% 0.44× 83.3% → 76.5%
May 08, 2025 ±7.94% +11.93% 1.50× 99.4% → 92.7%
November 13, 2024 ±13.94% +3.86% 0.28× 129.0% → 137.4%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →