HNST Moves

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The Honest Company HNST 5.2 0.03 0.58%

Previous-day view · Tue Nov 10 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 10, 2026 close · $5.20

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.3% ±$0.12	$5.08 – $5.32	$5.06 – $5.34	$4.95 – $5.45
2 sessions	±3.1% ±$0.16	$5.04 – $5.36	$5.00 – $5.40	$4.85 – $5.55
3 sessions	±3.9% ±$0.21	$5.00 – $5.41	$4.96 – $5.44	$4.76 – $5.64
1 week	±5.0% ±$0.26	$4.94 – $5.46	$4.88 – $5.52	$4.65 – $5.76
2 weeks	±7.0% ±$0.37	$4.83 – $5.57	$4.75 – $5.65	$4.42 – $5.98
3 weeks	±8.7% ±$0.45	$4.75 – $5.65	$4.64 – $5.76	$4.24 – $6.16
1 month	±10.4% ±$0.54	$4.66 – $5.74	$4.53 – $5.87	$4.06 – $6.34

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±15.10%

Average actual move

8.75%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 08, 2025	±15.10%	-8.75%	0.58×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →