HNGE Moves

Hinge Health HNGE 115.98 -4.89 -4.05%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $115.98

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.8% ±$3.20	$112.78 – $119.18	$112.13 – $119.83	$109.10 – $122.86
2 sessions	±3.8% ±$4.45	$111.53 – $120.43	$110.58 – $121.38	$106.37 – $125.59
3 sessions	±4.8% ±$5.61	$110.37 – $121.59	$109.28 – $122.68	$104.02 – $127.94
1 week	±6.2% ±$7.13	$108.85 – $123.11	$107.26 – $124.70	$100.78 – $131.18
2 weeks	±8.6% ±$10.01	$105.97 – $125.99	$103.59 – $128.37	$94.62 – $137.34
3 weeks	±10.3% ±$12.00	$103.98 – $127.98	$101.06 – $130.90	$90.63 – $141.33
1 month	±12.0% ±$13.91	$102.07 – $129.89	$98.62 – $133.34	$86.50 – $145.46

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±13.02%

Average actual move

10.23%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 06, 2026	±13.02%	+10.23%	0.79×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →