HLIO Moves

Helios Technologies HLIO 67.48 1.33 2.01%

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Expected move

November 02, 2026 close · $67.48

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±3.2% ±$2.19	$65.29 – $69.67	$64.86 – $70.10	$62.79 – $72.17
2 sessions	±4.5% ±$3.04	$64.44 – $70.52	$63.80 – $71.16	$60.93 – $74.03
3 sessions	±5.7% ±$3.83	$63.65 – $71.31	$62.91 – $72.05	$59.33 – $75.63
1 week	±7.2% ±$4.87	$62.61 – $72.35	$61.53 – $73.43	$57.12 – $77.84
2 weeks	±10.1% ±$6.83	$60.65 – $74.31	$59.04 – $75.92	$52.92 – $82.04

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. HLIO reports in 4 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±9.55%

Average actual move

7.63%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 2

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
August 11, 2026	±9.94%	-0.56%	0.06×	—
November 06, 2024	±9.17%	+14.69%	1.60×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →