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Herbalife Ltd HLF 15.55 -0.04 -0.26%
Expected move
November 11, 2026 close · $15.54| Horizon | Expected move | Typical range | 2 in 3 closes | 9 in 10 closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ±2.7% ±$0.43 | $15.12 – $15.97 | $15.04 – $16.05 | $14.64 – $16.45 |
| 2 sessions | ±3.8% ±$0.58 | $14.96 – $16.13 | $14.83 – $16.26 | $14.27 – $16.82 |
| 3 sessions | ±4.8% ±$0.74 | $14.80 – $16.29 | $14.66 – $16.43 | $13.96 – $17.13 |
| 1 week | ±6.1% ±$0.94 | $14.60 – $16.49 | $14.39 – $16.70 | $13.53 – $17.56 |
| 2 weeks | ±8.5% ±$1.33 | $14.22 – $16.87 | $13.91 – $17.18 | $12.72 – $18.37 |
| 3 weeks | ±10.6% ±$1.63 | $13.91 – $17.18 | $13.51 – $17.58 | $12.08 – $19.01 |
| 1 month | ±12.6% ±$1.96 | $13.59 – $17.50 | $13.11 – $17.98 | $11.40 – $19.69 |
Earnings: priced against what happened
Average implied move
±16.03%
Average actual move
19.14%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 3
Median IV change
-40.02%
| Reaction session | Implied | Actual | Used | ATM IV before → after |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 07, 2025 | ±16.49% | -6.81% | 0.41× | 111.7% → 66.2% |
| May 01, 2025 | ±17.36% | -7.92% | 0.46× | 120.1% → 72.9% |
| February 20, 2025 | ±14.23% | +42.70% | 3.00× | — |