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Hecla Mining Company HL 14.45 -0.5 -3.34%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $14.40
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±3.3% ±$0.48 $13.92 – $14.88 $13.83 – $14.97 $13.38 – $15.42
2 sessions ±4.3% ±$0.61 $13.79 – $15.01 $13.66 – $15.14 $13.08 – $15.72
3 sessions ±5.2% ±$0.75 $13.65 – $15.15 $13.51 – $15.29 $12.81 – $15.99
1 week ±6.4% ±$0.93 $13.47 – $15.33 $13.27 – $15.53 $12.42 – $16.38
2 weeks ±8.6% ±$1.23 $13.17 – $15.63 $12.88 – $15.92 $11.77 – $17.03
3 weeks ±10.4% ±$1.50 $12.90 – $15.90 $12.54 – $16.26 $11.23 – $17.57
1 month ±12.2% ±$1.76 $12.64 – $16.16 $12.21 – $16.59 $10.68 – $18.12
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±6.81%
Average actual move
12.81%
Beyond the implied move
4 / 6
Median IV change
-2.63%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
November 04, 2026 ±7.87% +13.17% 1.67× 69.1% → 67.3%
August 05, 2026 ±8.77% +7.47% 0.85× —
May 06, 2026 ±8.33% +6.45% 0.77× —
August 07, 2025 ±6.38% +18.17% 2.85× —
May 02, 2025 ±4.94% -17.00% 3.44× —
February 14, 2025 ±4.55% -14.60% 3.21× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →