HIMS Moves

Hims & Hers Health HIMS 24.06 -2.6 -9.75%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $23.60

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±3.4% ±$0.81	$22.79 – $24.41	$22.63 – $24.57	$21.86 – $25.34
2 sessions	±4.8% ±$1.13	$22.47 – $24.73	$22.23 – $24.97	$21.17 – $26.03
3 sessions Earnings	±15.1% ±$3.55	$20.05 – $27.15	$19.22 – $27.98	$15.97 – $31.23
1 week Earnings	±16.1% ±$3.80	$19.80 – $27.40	$18.88 – $28.32	$15.62 – $31.58
2 weeks Earnings	±18.1% ±$4.26	$19.34 – $27.86	$18.34 – $28.86	$14.62 – $32.58
3 weeks Earnings	±19.7% ±$4.65	$18.95 – $28.25	$17.84 – $29.36	$13.83 – $33.37
1 month Earnings	±21.5% ±$5.07	$18.53 – $28.67	$17.31 – $29.89	$12.94 – $34.26

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. HIMS reports in 3 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±17.93%

Average actual move

10.25%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 7

Median IV change

-33.16%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
August 11, 2026	±15.52%	-3.97%	0.26×	—
May 12, 2026	±17.95%	-14.10%	0.79×	153.6% → 88.6%
February 24, 2026	±15.57%	-0.32%	0.02×	—
August 05, 2025	±17.32%	-12.36%	0.71×	138.3% → 95.7%
May 06, 2025	±19.16%	+18.12%	0.95×	165.0% → 129.3%
February 25, 2025	±20.71%	-22.32%	1.08×	—
November 05, 2024	±19.27%	-0.58%	0.03×	154.5% → 99.6%

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →