HHH Moves

Howard Hughes Holdings Inc HHH 77.73 -0.3 -0.38%

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Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $77.73

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.6% ±$1.27	$76.46 – $79.00	$76.20 – $79.26	$74.99 – $80.47
2 sessions	±2.3% ±$1.77	$75.96 – $79.50	$75.58 – $79.88	$73.91 – $81.55
3 sessions	±2.9% ±$2.23	$75.50 – $79.96	$75.06 – $80.40	$72.97 – $82.49
1 week	±3.6% ±$2.84	$74.89 – $80.57	$74.26 – $81.20	$71.68 – $83.78
2 weeks	±5.1% ±$3.99	$73.74 – $81.72	$72.80 – $82.66	$69.23 – $86.23
3 weeks	±6.3% ±$4.94	$72.79 – $82.67	$71.60 – $83.86	$67.30 – $88.16
1 month	±7.6% ±$5.88	$71.85 – $83.61	$70.39 – $85.07	$65.26 – $90.20

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±4.77%

Average actual move

1.69%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Median IV change

-18.16%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
August 07, 2025	±4.77%	+1.69%	0.35×	37.3% → 30.2%

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →