GT Moves

Goodyear Tire & Rubber GT 4.18 -0.18 -4.13%

Previous-day view · Mon Nov 9 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 09, 2026 close · $4.19

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.9% ±$0.12	$4.07 – $4.31	$4.05 – $4.33	$3.93 – $4.45
2 sessions	±4.0% ±$0.17	$4.02 – $4.36	$3.99 – $4.39	$3.83 – $4.55
3 sessions	±5.0% ±$0.21	$3.98 – $4.40	$3.94 – $4.44	$3.74 – $4.64
1 week	±6.4% ±$0.27	$3.92 – $4.46	$3.86 – $4.52	$3.62 – $4.76
2 weeks	±8.8% ±$0.37	$3.82 – $4.56	$3.73 – $4.65	$3.40 – $4.98
3 weeks	±10.4% ±$0.43	$3.76 – $4.62	$3.65 – $4.73	$3.27 – $5.11
1 month	±11.9% ±$0.50	$3.69 – $4.69	$3.56 – $4.82	$3.13 – $5.25

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±11.57%

Average actual move

11.19%

Beyond the implied move

3 / 5

Median IV change

-44.16%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 07, 2026	±11.64%	-6.03%	0.52×	—
February 10, 2026	±11.64%	-13.50%	1.16×	—
August 08, 2025	±12.43%	-18.52%	1.49×	—
May 08, 2025	±11.13%	-0.64%	0.06×	89.0% → 49.7%
February 14, 2025	±11.02%	+17.26%	1.57×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →