FTI Moves

TechnipFMC plc Ordinary Share FTI 63.52 1.93 3.13%

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Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $63.59

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.0% ±$1.30	$62.29 – $64.89	$62.03 – $65.15	$60.79 – $66.39
2 sessions	±2.9% ±$1.81	$61.78 – $65.40	$61.39 – $65.79	$59.68 – $67.50
3 sessions	±3.6% ±$2.28	$61.31 – $65.87	$60.87 – $66.31	$58.73 – $68.45
1 week	±4.6% ±$2.90	$60.69 – $66.49	$60.04 – $67.14	$57.41 – $69.77
2 weeks	±6.4% ±$4.07	$59.52 – $67.66	$58.55 – $68.63	$54.90 – $72.28
3 weeks	±7.6% ±$4.84	$58.75 – $68.43	$57.57 – $69.61	$53.37 – $73.81
1 month	±8.8% ±$5.61	$57.98 – $69.20	$56.58 – $70.60	$51.69 – $75.49

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±6.02%

Average actual move

0.82%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Median IV change

-13.90%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
February 19, 2026	±6.02%	-0.82%	0.14×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →