Expeditors International of Washington EXPD 188.87 -8.82 -4.46%
Expected move
November 05, 2026 close · $188.87| Horizon | Expected move | Typical range | 2 in 3 closes | 9 in 10 closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ±1.5% ±$2.76 | $186.11 – $191.63 | $185.56 – $192.18 | $182.96 – $194.78 |
| 2 sessions | ±2.0% ±$3.83 | $185.04 – $192.70 | $184.22 – $193.52 | $180.60 – $197.14 |
| 3 sessions | ±2.6% ±$4.84 | $184.03 – $193.71 | $183.11 – $194.63 | $178.60 – $199.14 |
| 1 week | ±3.3% ±$6.14 | $182.73 – $195.01 | $181.37 – $196.37 | $175.80 – $201.94 |
| 2 weeks | ±4.6% ±$8.61 | $180.26 – $197.48 | $178.22 – $199.52 | $170.49 – $207.25 |
| 3 weeks | ±5.4% ±$10.18 | $178.69 – $199.05 | $176.22 – $201.52 | $167.34 – $210.40 |
| 1 month | ±6.2% ±$11.65 | $177.22 – $200.52 | $174.31 – $203.43 | $164.15 – $213.59 |
Earnings: priced against what happened
Average implied move
±5.16%
Average actual move
4.73%
Beyond the implied move
2 / 4
Median IV change
-13.80%
| Reaction session | Implied | Actual | Used | ATM IV before → after |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 05, 2026 | ±7.27% | +9.57% | 1.32× | — |
| August 05, 2025 | ±4.51% | -0.50% | 0.11× | — |
| May 06, 2025 | ±4.92% | -5.00% | 1.02× | — |
| February 18, 2025 | ±3.94% | +3.85% | 0.98× | 23.4% → 20.2% |