EXE Moves

Expand Energy Corporation Common Stock EXE 87.31 -2.62 -2.91%

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Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $87.32

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.6% ±$1.37	$85.95 – $88.69	$85.67 – $88.97	$84.38 – $90.26
2 sessions	±2.2% ±$1.90	$85.42 – $89.22	$85.01 – $89.63	$83.21 – $91.43
3 sessions	±2.8% ±$2.40	$84.92 – $89.72	$84.46 – $90.18	$82.21 – $92.43
1 week	±3.5% ±$3.05	$84.27 – $90.37	$83.59 – $91.05	$80.82 – $93.82
2 weeks	±4.9% ±$4.24	$83.08 – $91.56	$82.07 – $92.57	$78.27 – $96.37
3 weeks	±5.9% ±$5.14	$82.18 – $92.46	$80.93 – $93.71	$76.45 – $98.19
1 month	±6.9% ±$6.05	$81.27 – $93.37	$79.77 – $94.87	$74.50 – $100.14

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±4.72%

Average actual move

3.18%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 2

Median IV change

-8.86%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
October 28, 2026	±4.17%	-3.22%	0.77×	—
February 18, 2026	±5.27%	-3.14%	0.60×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →