ETD Moves

Ethan Allen Interiors Inc ETD 20.7 -0.68 -3.18%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $20.70

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.0% ±$0.41	$20.29 – $21.11	$20.21 – $21.19	$19.82 – $21.58
2 sessions	±2.8% ±$0.57	$20.13 – $21.27	$20.01 – $21.39	$19.47 – $21.93
3 sessions	±3.5% ±$0.72	$19.98 – $21.42	$19.84 – $21.56	$19.17 – $22.23
1 week	±4.4% ±$0.91	$19.79 – $21.61	$19.58 – $21.82	$18.75 – $22.65
2 weeks	±6.2% ±$1.29	$19.41 – $21.99	$19.11 – $22.29	$17.96 – $23.44
3 weeks	±7.7% ±$1.59	$19.11 – $22.29	$18.72 – $22.68	$17.34 – $24.06
1 month	±9.2% ±$1.89	$18.81 – $22.59	$18.33 – $23.07	$16.68 – $24.72

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. ETD reports in 3 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±8.24%

Average actual move

11.91%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 06, 2025	±8.24%	-11.91%	1.45×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →