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ESAB Corporation ESAB 78.36 2.31 3.04%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $78.14
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.7% ±$2.13 $76.01 – $80.27 $75.58 – $80.70 $73.56 – $82.72
2 sessions ±3.8% ±$2.97 $75.17 – $81.11 $74.55 – $81.73 $71.74 – $84.54
3 sessions ±4.8% ±$3.74 $74.40 – $81.88 $73.69 – $82.59 $70.19 – $86.09
1 week ±6.1% ±$4.75 $73.39 – $82.89 $72.33 – $83.95 $68.03 – $88.25
2 weeks ±8.5% ±$6.67 $71.47 – $84.81 $69.90 – $86.38 $63.93 – $92.35
3 weeks ±10.1% ±$7.86 $70.28 – $86.00 $68.36 – $87.92 $61.53 – $94.75
1 month ±11.3% ±$8.80 $69.34 – $86.94 $67.16 – $89.12 $59.49 – $96.79
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±9.46%
Average actual move
0.85%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 1
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 07, 2026 ±9.46% +0.85% 0.09× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →