EQNR Moves

Equinor ASA American Depositary Shares EQNR 42.54 -0.26 -0.61%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $42.54

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.9% ±$0.79	$41.75 – $43.33	$41.60 – $43.48	$40.86 – $44.22
2 sessions	±2.6% ±$1.09	$41.45 – $43.63	$41.22 – $43.86	$40.18 – $44.90
3 sessions	±3.2% ±$1.37	$41.17 – $43.91	$40.90 – $44.18	$39.61 – $45.47
1 week	±4.1% ±$1.75	$40.79 – $44.29	$40.40 – $44.68	$38.81 – $46.27
2 weeks	±5.8% ±$2.45	$40.09 – $44.99	$39.50 – $45.58	$37.30 – $47.78
3 weeks	±7.1% ±$3.04	$39.50 – $45.58	$38.76 – $46.32	$36.12 – $48.96
1 month	±8.5% ±$3.62	$38.92 – $46.16	$38.02 – $47.06	$34.87 – $50.21

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±6.83%

Average actual move

8.05%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 1

Median IV change

-3.66%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 06, 2026	±6.83%	-8.05%	1.18×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →