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Brinker International EAT 212.66 -7.78 -3.53%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $211.66
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.3% ±$4.94 $206.73 – $216.60 $205.74 – $217.59 $201.08 – $222.25
2 sessions ±3.2% ±$6.86 $204.81 – $218.52 $203.35 – $219.98 $196.87 – $226.46
3 sessions ±4.1% ±$8.64 $203.03 – $220.30 $201.36 – $221.97 $193.27 – $230.06
1 week ±5.2% ±$10.99 $200.68 – $222.65 $198.24 – $225.08 $188.28 – $235.05
2 weeks ±7.3% ±$15.41 $196.26 – $227.07 $192.61 – $230.71 $178.79 – $244.54
3 weeks ±8.8% ±$18.63 $193.04 – $230.29 $188.49 – $234.84 $172.29 – $251.03
1 month ±10.3% ±$21.78 $189.88 – $233.44 $184.49 – $238.84 $165.50 – $257.83
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±11.11%
Average actual move
6.34%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 2
Median IV change
-18.19%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 12, 2026 ±11.18% +11.07% 0.99× —
August 13, 2025 ±11.04% +1.61% 0.15× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →