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Darden Restaurants DRI 228.67 -1.94 -0.84%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $228.67
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.4% ±$3.11 $225.56 – $231.78 $224.94 – $232.40 $222.02 – $235.32
2 sessions ±1.9% ±$4.32 $224.35 – $232.99 $223.43 – $233.91 $219.36 – $237.98
3 sessions ±2.4% ±$5.44 $223.23 – $234.11 $222.20 – $235.14 $217.10 – $240.24
1 week ±3.0% ±$6.91 $221.76 – $235.58 $220.23 – $237.11 $213.97 – $243.37
2 weeks ±4.2% ±$9.70 $218.97 – $238.37 $216.69 – $240.65 $208.00 – $249.34
3 weeks ±5.3% ±$12.01 $216.66 – $240.68 $213.74 – $243.60 $203.31 – $254.03
1 month ±6.3% ±$14.29 $214.38 – $242.96 $210.83 – $246.51 $198.37 – $258.97
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. DRI reports in 29 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±5.99%
Average actual move
6.28%
Beyond the implied move
2 / 5
Median IV change
-24.30%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
March 19, 2026 ±6.43% +1.85% 0.29× —
September 18, 2025 ±5.68% -7.69% 1.35× 33.0% → 24.7%
June 20, 2025 ±5.21% +1.36% 0.26× 33.3% → 25.1%
March 20, 2025 ±6.11% +5.77% 0.94× 36.0% → 27.4%
December 19, 2024 ±6.51% +14.74% 2.27× 34.3% → 37.4%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →