DNA Moves

Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings DNA 9.96 -1.69 -14.51%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $9.94

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session Earnings	±17.5% ±$1.74	$8.20 – $11.68	$7.76 – $12.12	$6.14 – $13.74
2 sessions Earnings	±19.0% ±$1.89	$8.05 – $11.83	$7.58 – $12.29	$5.84 – $14.04
3 sessions Earnings	±20.4% ±$2.03	$7.91 – $11.97	$7.44 – $12.44	$5.58 – $14.29
1 week Earnings	±21.9% ±$2.18	$7.76 – $12.12	$7.23 – $12.65	$5.36 – $14.52
2 weeks Earnings	±24.8% ±$2.46	$7.47 – $12.40	$6.89 – $12.98	$4.74 – $15.14
3 weeks Earnings	±27.2% ±$2.71	$7.23 – $12.65	$6.59 – $13.29	$4.25 – $15.63
1 month Earnings	±29.8% ±$2.96	$6.98 – $12.90	$6.26 – $13.62	$3.71 – $16.17

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. DNA reports in 1 session; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±19.84%

Average actual move

11.08%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 2

Median IV change

-28.93%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 08, 2026	±19.62%	-13.47%	0.69×	—
August 08, 2025	±20.06%	-8.69%	0.43×	173.1% → 108.3%

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →