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CoreWeave CRWV 48.42 -5.32 -9.9% Regime: Trend Down (95%)

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $48.45
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±4.1% ±$1.97 $46.48 – $50.42 $46.09 – $50.81 $44.24 – $52.67
2 sessions ±5.6% ±$2.73 $45.72 – $51.18 $45.14 – $51.77 $42.56 – $54.35
3 sessions ±7.1% ±$3.44 $45.01 – $51.89 $44.34 – $52.56 $41.12 – $55.78
1 week Earnings ±19.3% ±$9.35 $39.11 – $57.80 $36.84 – $60.06 $28.80 – $68.10
2 weeks Earnings ±21.6% ±$10.45 $38.00 – $58.90 $35.54 – $61.36 $26.42 – $70.48
3 weeks Earnings ±23.5% ±$11.39 $37.07 – $59.84 $34.36 – $62.55 $24.52 – $72.38
1 month Earnings ±25.6% ±$12.39 $36.06 – $60.84 $33.08 – $63.83 $22.40 – $74.50
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. CRWV reports in 5 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±14.79%
Average actual move
12.92%
Beyond the implied move
2 / 4
Median IV change
-34.37%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 12, 2026 ±13.42% +19.28% 1.44× —
May 08, 2026 ±11.70% -11.40% 0.97× —
February 27, 2026 ±16.00% -18.51% 1.16× —
May 15, 2025 ±18.01% -2.51% 0.14× 152.7% → 100.2%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →