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Cipher Digital Inc CIFR 5.55 -0.95 -14.62%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $5.55
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±8.3% ±$0.46 $5.09 – $6.01 $5.00 – $6.10 $4.56 – $6.54
2 sessions ±10.9% ±$0.61 $4.94 – $6.16 $4.82 – $6.28 $4.24 – $6.86
3 sessions ±13.5% ±$0.75 $4.80 – $6.30 $4.66 – $6.44 $3.95 – $7.15
1 week ±16.9% ±$0.94 $4.61 – $6.49 $4.40 – $6.70 $3.55 – $7.55
2 weeks ±22.4% ±$1.24 $4.31 – $6.79 $4.01 – $7.09 $2.90 – $8.20
3 weeks ±26.9% ±$1.49 $4.06 – $7.04 $3.69 – $7.41 $2.40 – $8.70
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±15.05%
Average actual move
11.84%
Beyond the implied move
2 / 6
Median IV change
-0.95%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
November 02, 2026 ±20.37% -5.90% 0.29× 153.6% → 166.7%
August 04, 2026 ±15.89% -15.65% 0.98× —
May 05, 2026 ±12.74% +23.53% 1.85× 114.7% → 121.9%
August 07, 2025 ±9.79% -6.53% 0.67× 93.5% → 89.6%
May 06, 2025 ±14.77% +2.01% 0.14× 122.9% → 109.4%
February 25, 2025 ±16.72% -17.42% 1.04× 141.4% → 140.0%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →