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KE Holdings Inc BEKE 18.82 0.25 1.35%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $18.88
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.8% ±$0.34 $18.54 – $19.22 $18.47 – $19.29 $18.15 – $19.62
2 sessions ±2.5% ±$0.48 $18.41 – $19.36 $18.30 – $19.46 $17.86 – $19.91
3 sessions ±3.2% ±$0.60 $18.28 – $19.48 $18.17 – $19.60 $17.61 – $20.16
1 week ±4.0% ±$0.77 $18.12 – $19.65 $17.95 – $19.82 $17.26 – $20.51
2 weeks Earnings ±8.3% ±$1.58 $17.31 – $20.46 $16.94 – $20.83 $15.57 – $22.20
3 weeks Earnings ±9.3% ±$1.76 $17.12 – $20.64 $16.70 – $21.06 $15.18 – $22.59
1 month Earnings ±10.4% ±$1.96 $16.92 – $20.84 $16.45 – $21.31 $14.76 – $23.00
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. BEKE reports in 7 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±6.96%
Average actual move
4.12%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 6
Median IV change
-25.25%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 21, 2026 ±5.59% +4.47% 0.80× —
May 19, 2026 ±6.46% +5.17% 0.80× 56.3% → 45.3%
August 26, 2025 ±7.20% -1.28% 0.18× —
May 15, 2025 ±6.75% -5.29% 0.78× 56.6% → 36.8%
March 18, 2025 ±8.37% -7.25% 0.87× —
November 21, 2024 ±7.41% -1.24% 0.17× 63.4% → 47.4%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →