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Ball Corporation BALL 67.38 4.17 6.6%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $67.38
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.1% ±$0.75 $66.63 – $68.13 $66.48 – $68.28 $65.78 – $68.98
2 sessions ±1.5% ±$1.04 $66.34 – $68.42 $66.12 – $68.64 $65.14 – $69.62
3 sessions ±1.9% ±$1.31 $66.07 – $68.69 $65.82 – $68.94 $64.59 – $70.17
1 week ±2.5% ±$1.66 $65.72 – $69.04 $65.35 – $69.41 $63.84 – $70.92
2 weeks ±3.5% ±$2.34 $65.04 – $69.72 $64.49 – $70.27 $62.39 – $72.37
3 weeks ±4.3% ±$2.87 $64.51 – $70.25 $63.81 – $70.95 $61.31 – $73.45
1 month ±5.0% ±$3.40 $63.98 – $70.78 $63.14 – $71.62 $60.18 – $74.58
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±6.36%
Average actual move
4.11%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 3
Median IV change
-33.75%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 05, 2026 ±6.44% -6.27% 0.97× —
August 05, 2025 ±6.08% -5.75% 0.95× —
May 06, 2025 ±6.56% -0.33% 0.05× 46.6% → 29.9%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →