AYI Moves

Acuity Inc AYI 323.06 -0.25 -0.08%

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Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $323.06

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.8% ±$5.69	$317.37 – $328.75	$316.21 – $329.91	$310.85 – $335.27
2 sessions	±2.5% ±$7.91	$315.15 – $330.97	$313.47 – $332.65	$305.97 – $340.15
3 sessions	±3.1% ±$9.98	$313.08 – $333.04	$311.14 – $334.98	$301.80 – $344.32
1 week	±3.9% ±$12.70	$310.36 – $335.76	$307.55 – $338.57	$296.02 – $350.10
2 weeks	±5.5% ±$17.80	$305.26 – $340.86	$301.03 – $345.09	$285.07 – $361.05
3 weeks	±6.5% ±$20.93	$302.13 – $343.99	$297.02 – $349.10	$278.80 – $367.32
1 month	±7.5% ±$24.16	$298.90 – $347.22	$292.92 – $353.20	$271.85 – $374.27

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±7.87%

Average actual move

3.22%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Median IV change

-20.64%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
January 08, 2025	±7.87%	+3.22%	0.41×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →