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AXT Inc AXTI 36.72 -10.82 -22.76%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $37.76
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±7.9% ±$2.97 $34.79 – $40.73 $34.19 – $41.33 $31.38 – $44.14
2 sessions ±9.8% ±$3.70 $34.06 – $41.46 $33.28 – $42.24 $29.78 – $45.74
3 sessions ±11.8% ±$4.46 $33.30 – $42.22 $32.44 – $43.08 $28.26 – $47.26
1 week ±14.4% ±$5.46 $32.30 – $43.22 $31.08 – $44.44 $26.13 – $49.39
2 weeks ±18.8% ±$7.09 $30.67 – $44.85 $28.99 – $46.53 $22.63 – $52.89
3 weeks ±22.4% ±$8.46 $29.30 – $46.22 $27.24 – $48.28 $19.88 – $55.64
1 month ±24.8% ±$9.37 $28.39 – $47.13 $26.07 – $49.45 $17.90 – $57.62
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±15.15%
Average actual move
19.15%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 2
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
October 30, 2026 ±13.47% -9.56% 0.71× —
July 31, 2026 ±16.83% +28.74% 1.71× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →