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Avnet AVT 76.63 -9.05 -10.56%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $77.66
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.2% ±$1.71 $75.95 – $79.37 $75.60 – $79.72 $73.99 – $81.33
2 sessions ±3.1% ±$2.38 $75.28 – $80.04 $74.78 – $80.54 $72.53 – $82.79
3 sessions ±3.9% ±$3.00 $74.66 – $80.66 $74.09 – $81.23 $71.28 – $84.04
1 week ±4.9% ±$3.81 $73.85 – $81.47 $73.00 – $82.32 $69.54 – $85.78
2 weeks ±6.9% ±$5.34 $72.32 – $83.00 $71.05 – $84.27 $66.26 – $89.06
3 weeks ±8.5% ±$6.62 $71.04 – $84.28 $69.43 – $85.89 $63.67 – $91.65
1 month ±10.2% ±$7.88 $69.78 – $85.54 $67.82 – $87.50 $60.95 – $94.37
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±6.55%
Average actual move
4.68%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 1
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 06, 2025 ±6.55% -4.68% 0.71× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →