ARW Moves

Arrow Electronics ARW 177.07 -25.56 -12.61%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $177.07

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.6% ±$4.69	$172.38 – $181.76	$171.42 – $182.72	$166.99 – $187.15
2 sessions	±3.7% ±$6.53	$170.54 – $183.60	$169.15 – $184.99	$162.98 – $191.16
3 sessions	±4.7% ±$8.23	$168.84 – $185.30	$167.24 – $186.90	$159.54 – $194.60
1 week	±5.9% ±$10.46	$166.61 – $187.53	$164.27 – $189.87	$154.78 – $199.36
2 weeks	±8.3% ±$14.68	$162.39 – $191.75	$158.90 – $195.24	$145.75 – $208.39
3 weeks	±9.8% ±$17.35	$159.72 – $194.42	$155.49 – $198.65	$140.38 – $213.76
1 month	±11.2% ±$19.88	$157.19 – $196.95	$152.26 – $201.88	$134.93 – $219.21

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±7.74%

Average actual move

1.05%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Median IV change

-29.96%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 07, 2026	±7.74%	-1.05%	0.14×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →