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Arhaus ARHS 12.94 -0.21 -1.6%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $12.88
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.9% ±$0.38 $12.51 – $13.26 $12.44 – $13.33 $12.08 – $13.69
2 sessions ±4.0% ±$0.52 $12.37 – $13.40 $12.25 – $13.52 $11.76 – $14.01
3 sessions ±5.1% ±$0.65 $12.23 – $13.54 $12.10 – $13.67 $11.49 – $14.28
1 week ±6.5% ±$0.84 $12.05 – $13.72 $11.87 – $13.90 $11.11 – $14.66
2 weeks ±9.1% ±$1.17 $11.72 – $14.05 $11.44 – $14.33 $10.40 – $15.37
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±14.69%
Average actual move
21.48%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 1
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 07, 2025 ±14.69% +21.48% 1.46× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →