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Aptiv PLC APTV 43.26 1.92 4.64%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $43.50
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±9.7% ±$4.22 $39.28 – $47.72 $38.43 – $48.57 $34.45 – $52.55
2 sessions ±13.5% ±$5.87 $37.63 – $49.37 $36.39 – $50.61 $30.84 – $56.16
3 sessions ±17.0% ±$7.39 $36.11 – $50.89 $34.68 – $52.32 $27.76 – $59.24
1 week ±21.6% ±$9.40 $34.10 – $52.90 $32.01 – $54.99 $23.49 – $63.52
2 weeks ±30.3% ±$13.18 $30.32 – $56.68 $27.19 – $59.81 $15.37 – $71.63
3 weeks ±33.6% ±$14.60 $28.90 – $58.10 $25.34 – $61.66 $12.64 – $74.36
1 month ±33.8% ±$14.70 $28.80 – $58.20 $25.15 – $61.85 $12.33 – $74.67
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±7.43%
Average actual move
7.90%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 1
Median IV change
-33.04%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 05, 2026 ±7.43% -7.90% 1.06× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →