ALM Moves

Almonty Industries Inc ALM 8.78 0.66 8.07%

Previous-day view · Mon Nov 9 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 09, 2026 close · $8.78

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±4.4% ±$0.38	$8.39 – $9.16	$8.31 – $9.24	$7.94 – $9.61
2 sessions	±6.1% ±$0.54	$8.24 – $9.31	$8.12 – $9.43	$7.61 – $9.94
3 sessions	±7.7% ±$0.67	$8.10 – $9.45	$7.97 – $9.58	$7.33 – $10.22
1 week	±9.8% ±$0.87	$7.91 – $9.64	$7.72 – $9.83	$6.94 – $10.61
2 weeks Earnings	±15.0% ±$1.31	$7.46 – $10.09	$7.15 – $10.40	$6.00 – $11.55
3 weeks Earnings	±18.3% ±$1.61	$7.17 – $10.38	$6.79 – $10.76	$5.41 – $12.14
1 month Earnings	±21.4% ±$1.88	$6.90 – $10.65	$6.44 – $11.11	$4.82 – $12.73

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. ALM reports in 9 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±10.87%

Average actual move

5.74%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 12, 2026	±10.87%	+5.74%	0.53×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →