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Alamos Gold Inc AGI 31.08 1.08 3.6%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $31.17
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.2% ±$0.69 $30.47 – $31.86 $30.32 – $32.01 $29.66 – $32.67
2 sessions ±3.1% ±$0.97 $30.19 – $32.14 $29.99 – $32.34 $29.07 – $33.26
3 sessions ±3.9% ±$1.22 $29.94 – $32.39 $29.70 – $32.63 $28.56 – $33.77
1 week ±5.0% ±$1.55 $29.61 – $32.72 $29.26 – $33.07 $27.85 – $34.48
2 weeks ±7.0% ±$2.18 $28.98 – $33.35 $28.46 – $33.87 $26.50 – $35.83
3 weeks ±8.5% ±$2.65 $28.51 – $33.82 $27.86 – $34.47 $25.55 – $36.79
1 month ±10.0% ±$3.12 $28.04 – $34.29 $27.27 – $35.06 $24.54 – $37.79
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±5.07%
Average actual move
3.72%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 2
Median IV change
-8.81%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
February 19, 2026 ±5.94% +4.85% 0.82× —
February 20, 2025 ±4.19% +2.60% 0.62× 36.1% → 34.7%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →