ADC Moves

Agree Realty Corporation ADC 70.46 0.5 0.71%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $70.31

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.0% ±$0.66	$69.64 – $70.97	$69.50 – $71.11	$68.86 – $71.75
2 sessions	±1.3% ±$0.93	$69.37 – $71.24	$69.17 – $71.44	$68.30 – $72.32
3 sessions	±1.7% ±$1.17	$69.13 – $71.48	$68.91 – $71.70	$67.80 – $72.81
1 week	±2.1% ±$1.49	$68.82 – $71.80	$68.48 – $72.13	$67.13 – $73.48
2 weeks	±3.0% ±$2.09	$68.21 – $72.40	$67.72 – $72.89	$65.84 – $74.77
3 weeks	±3.7% ±$2.59	$67.71 – $72.90	$67.08 – $73.53	$64.82 – $75.79
1 month	±4.4% ±$3.08	$67.22 – $73.39	$66.45 – $74.16	$63.75 – $76.86

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±3.89%

Average actual move

1.65%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Median IV change

-8.80%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
February 12, 2025	±3.89%	-1.65%	0.42×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →