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ABM Industries ABM 53.67 -1.06 -1.94%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $53.67
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.5% ±$0.83 $52.84 – $54.50 $52.67 – $54.67 $51.89 – $55.45
2 sessions ±2.1% ±$1.15 $52.52 – $54.82 $52.27 – $55.07 $51.19 – $56.15
3 sessions ±2.7% ±$1.45 $52.22 – $55.12 $51.94 – $55.40 $50.58 – $56.76
1 week ±3.4% ±$1.85 $51.82 – $55.52 $51.41 – $55.93 $49.74 – $57.60
2 weeks ±4.8% ±$2.59 $51.08 – $56.26 $50.47 – $56.87 $48.14 – $59.20
3 weeks ±6.0% ±$3.21 $50.46 – $56.88 $49.68 – $57.66 $46.89 – $60.45
1 month ±7.1% ±$3.82 $49.85 – $57.49 $48.90 – $58.44 $45.57 – $61.77
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. ABM reports in 28 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±8.01%
Average actual move
7.81%
Beyond the implied move
2 / 4
Median IV change
-45.56%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
September 08, 2026 ±8.40% +7.55% 0.90× —
June 05, 2026 ±8.02% +6.67% 0.83× —
March 12, 2025 ±8.53% -8.67% 1.02× —
December 18, 2024 ±7.10% -8.36% 1.18× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →